Yes, we know the Oscar nominations won’t be announced for another couple of weeks, but those five guys all scored Directors Guild of America Awards nominations on Monday (Jan. 10), and history tells us that whoever wins the DGA award is likely to take home the Academy Award as well.
The guild notes that since it began giving awards to feature-film directors in 1948, its award winner has gone on to win the Oscar all but six times. The most recent came in 2002, when Rob Marshall won the DGA honor for “Chicago” but Roman Polanski took the Oscar for “The Pianist.”
This year’s DGA nomination for “Inception’s” Nolan (pictured above right) is his third for feature films; he was previously nominated for “The Dark Knight” and “Memento.” Fincher (“The Social Network”) was nominated for “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” in 2008. “Black Swan” director Aronofsky (above left), Hooper (“The King’s Speech”) and Russell (“The Fighter”) all picked up their first DGA nods for features, although Hooper was nominated on the TV side in 2008 for his work on “John Adams.”
There are no big surprises on the DGA list; all five men are considered contenders for best director at the Oscars, and all five movies are likely to be among the 10 best picture nominees. The most notable non-nominees are probably Joel and Ethan Coen for “True Grit.”
The DGA Awards will take place Jan. 29. Nominees in the television, commercial and documentary categories will be announced later this week.