jesse tyler ferguson modern family s2 Emmys 2011: 6 shows and actors that WON'T win    even if they deserve toJust like we did before the nominations were announced, we want to take a look at the shows and actors that have slim to no chance of winning an Emmy Sunday night.

We’re not being masochists here; we are fans of these particular nominees. But we’re also realistic; no matter how good they are, we also know that there are nominees that are either getting more critical buzz or are just plain more popular than the folks on this list.

So, in no particular order, let’s give some due to some nominees who won’t win — even though they deserve to:

“Friday Night Lights”:
We’re really sorry to have this show on the list, as it’s one of TV’s best and it just concluded its run, but we can’t really see “FNL” winning in the outstanding drama category. Why? Two words: “Mad Men.” Failing that, there’s always the chance of the “new kid” on the dramatic block, “Boardwalk Empire,” getting all the attention. “FNL” fans are going to have to be satisfied that the show, Connie Britton and Kyle Chandler were all nominated this year.

Andre Braugher: He was a popular choice in our reader poll, but considering “Men of a Certain Age” got the boot from TNT, his nuanced performance is going to get lost in the shuffle. It’s especially problematic because Peter Dinklage is getting a lot of buzz, John Slattery has the “Mad Men” sheen on him, and the good will for “The Good Wife” will help Josh Charles and Alan Cumming.

“American Idol”: Despite a comeback from a dreadful ninth season — no easy feat given the addition of new judges Jennifer Lopez and Steven Tyler — the show has no shot of winning the reality competition category. It has no shot for two reasons: 1) It never won at its Simon-and-Paula peak, and 2) Last year, “Top Chef” finally broke the choke hold “The Amazing Race” had on the category, and its all-star season was its best ever.

Johnny Galecki: He’s getting the least amount of press for his lead actor in a comedy nomination; people tend to concentrate on Steve Carell because they think he’ll finally win, or Alec Baldwin or Galecki’s “Big Bang Theory” co-star Jim Parsons because they’ve already won. But Galecki deserves some consideration, given the fact that he managed to get nominated despite having to play Parsons’ straight man for the last four seasons.

Kathy Bates: If she wins the lead actress in a drama award for “Harry’s Law,” it’ll be the upset of the year, given the strength of the category. But she’s a fine actress, doing a good job with the show’s limited material.

Jesse Tyler Ferguson: Of all the “Modern Family” nominees, he’s getting the least attention. And, as our reader poll showed, even Chris Colfer of “Glee” will get a lot of consideration for the supporting actor in a comedy award. It’s not easy playing the uptight one next to Eric Stonestreet, but Ferguson pulls it off. He’s just well overshadowed by all of his co-stars, which is a bit of a shame.

Maybe we’ll be pleasantly surprised when the Emmys are given out Sunday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET on FOX. But in the case of the nominees above, we doubt that surprise is going to come.

Who do you think has no chance to win an Emmy, even though they deserve to?

Posted by:Joel Keller