Could the reign of “30 Rock” at awards shows be at an end? If we’re right about Sunday’s Golden Globes, it might be.
The reigning Globe winner for best comedy series, actor (Alec Baldwin) and actress (Tina Fey) is no longer a clear-cut favorite to sweep the 67th annual awards Sunday (Jan. 17). A renaissance in TV comedy in the past year means a much more crowded field — newcomers “Glee,” “Modern Family,” “Nurse Jackie” and “United States of Tara” are all nominated.
Taking into account the best of what TV had to offer in 2009 — and the fact that Golden Globes voters tend to favor both big stars and new shows — we offer our predictions for how the awards for TV comedy and TV movies and miniseries will (and should) go come Sunday.
Best comedy series
(Nominees: “30 Rock,” “Entourage,” “Glee,” “Modern Family,” “The Office”)
Will and should win: “Glee.” FOX’s musical comedy has been one of the breakout shows of the year (and also has three other Globe nominations), and the Globes like to use their position as the first big television awards of the year to honor newcomers.
Best actor, comedy series
(Nominees: Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”; Steve Carell, “The Office”; David Duchovny, “Californication”; Thomas Jane, “Hung”; Matthew Morrison, “Glee”)
Will win: Baldwin. It was a close call over Duchovny, but the Zap2it team favors the man who’s won two of the past three years.
Should win: Duchovny. He won in 2008 for “Californication,” and his work on the show this season was even better.
Best actress, comedy series
(Nominees: Toni Collette, “United States of Tara”; Courteney Cox, “Cougar Town”; Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”; Tina Fey, “30 Rock”; Lea Michele, “Glee”)
Will win: It’s a toss-up between Cox, a well-known star making a strong return to TV comedy, and Collette, who gets to play multiple roles in “Tara.”
Should win: Falco. “Nurse Jackie” isn’t as out-and-out funny as the other shows in this field, but she gives a knockout performance.
Best TV movie or miniseries
(Nominees: “Georgia O’Keeffe,” “Grey Gardens,” “Into the Storm,” “Little Dorrit,” “Taking Chance”)
Will and should win: “Grey Gardens.” The fictionalized portrait of Big and Little Edie Beale — distant relatives of Jacqueline Kennedy whose squalid life was the subject of an unblinking 1970s documentary — was surprisingly sympathetic and evoked its period extremely well. HBO’s moving “Taking Chance” is a dark horse.
Best actor, TV movie/miniseries
(Nominees: Kevin Bacon, “Taking Chance”; Kenneth Branagh, “Wallander: One Step Behind”; Chiwetel Ejiofor, “Endgame”; Brendan Gleeson, “Into the Storm”; Jeremy Irons, “Georgia O’Keeffe”)
Will win: Bacon, whose portrayal of a Marine colonel who escorts a dead soldier’s body home from Iraq was one of the best performances of his career.
Should win: Gleeson. His Winston Churchill in “Into the Storm” was every bit as formidable as Albert Finney’s award-winning portrayal in “The Gathering Storm” in 2002.
Best actress, TV movie/miniseries
(Nominees: Joan Allen, “Georgia O’Keeffe”; Drew Barrymore, “Grey Gardens”; Jessica Lange, “Grey Gardens”; Anna Paquin, “The Courageous Heart of Irena Sendler”; Sigourney Weaver, “Prayers for Bobby”)
Will win: Kind of a tossup here, but we’re going with Barrymore on the theory that Globes voters will be charmed by the actress as well as her performance.
Should win: Barrymore and Allen are neck-and-neck.
Coming Thursday: Our picks for TV drama and TV supporting actor and actress.
Who do you see taking home the Globes on Sunday?
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Photo credits: FOX, ABC